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Prove $mathbbV(Y) = mathbbEmathbbV(Y mid X) + mathbbVmathbbE(Y mid X)$



The 2019 Stack Overflow Developer Survey Results Are InIndependence of $min(X,Y)$ and $|X-Y|$ when $(X,Y)$ are i.i.d. exponentialA problem of regular distributionConditional expectation (mixed with an iterated expectation) $E[E(Xmid Y)mid Y]=E(Xmid Y)$Finding conditional expectation $mathbbE(Xmid (X-0.5)^2)$Prove $E[XE[YmidmathcalG]] = E[YE[XmidmathcalG]]$Breaking sides of equation to prove a probability.How to prove that a conditional pdf sums to 1?How to show that $f(x,y,mumid a,b,Sigma) = f(x,ymid mu, a,b,Sigma)cdot p(mu)$ if $(x,y)$ are MVN and $a,b,Sigma$ are hyperparameters?Gambler's ruin: $mathbbPleft X_tau=n mid X_1 = k+1right=mathbbPleft X_tau = nmid X_0 = k+1right,?$Showing $E(S^2mid bar X)=bar X$ for i.i.d Poisson random variables $X_i$










0












$begingroup$


Trying to figure out how to prove this statement
$mathbbV(Y) = mathbbEV(Ymid X) + mathbbVE(Ymid X)$



Tried expanding RHS as follows:



beginalign&= mathbbEV(Ymid X)+mathbbVE(Ymid X)\
&= mathbbE[int [y-mathbbE(Ymid X)]^2f(ymid x),dy] + int[mathbbE(Ymid X)-mathbbEmathbbE(Ymid X)]^2 f(x),dx \
&= intint (y-mathbbE(Y|X)^2f(y|x)dyf(x),dx + int[mathbbE(Y|X)-mathbbE(Y)]^2 f(x),dx;text since ;mathbbEE(Y|X) = mathbbE(Y)\
&= intint[y^2 -2ymathbbE(Y|X) + mathbbE(Y|X)^2]f(x,y),dy,dx + int[mathbbE(Y|X)^2 -2mathbbE(Y)mathbbE(Y|X)+mathbbE(Y)^2]f(x),dx\
&= cdots
endalign










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$endgroup$







  • 4




    $begingroup$
    This is the law of total variance. A proof can be found here: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Law_of_total_variance#Proof.
    $endgroup$
    – Minus One-Twelfth
    Mar 22 at 23:11















0












$begingroup$


Trying to figure out how to prove this statement
$mathbbV(Y) = mathbbEV(Ymid X) + mathbbVE(Ymid X)$



Tried expanding RHS as follows:



beginalign&= mathbbEV(Ymid X)+mathbbVE(Ymid X)\
&= mathbbE[int [y-mathbbE(Ymid X)]^2f(ymid x),dy] + int[mathbbE(Ymid X)-mathbbEmathbbE(Ymid X)]^2 f(x),dx \
&= intint (y-mathbbE(Y|X)^2f(y|x)dyf(x),dx + int[mathbbE(Y|X)-mathbbE(Y)]^2 f(x),dx;text since ;mathbbEE(Y|X) = mathbbE(Y)\
&= intint[y^2 -2ymathbbE(Y|X) + mathbbE(Y|X)^2]f(x,y),dy,dx + int[mathbbE(Y|X)^2 -2mathbbE(Y)mathbbE(Y|X)+mathbbE(Y)^2]f(x),dx\
&= cdots
endalign










share|cite|improve this question











$endgroup$







  • 4




    $begingroup$
    This is the law of total variance. A proof can be found here: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Law_of_total_variance#Proof.
    $endgroup$
    – Minus One-Twelfth
    Mar 22 at 23:11













0












0








0





$begingroup$


Trying to figure out how to prove this statement
$mathbbV(Y) = mathbbEV(Ymid X) + mathbbVE(Ymid X)$



Tried expanding RHS as follows:



beginalign&= mathbbEV(Ymid X)+mathbbVE(Ymid X)\
&= mathbbE[int [y-mathbbE(Ymid X)]^2f(ymid x),dy] + int[mathbbE(Ymid X)-mathbbEmathbbE(Ymid X)]^2 f(x),dx \
&= intint (y-mathbbE(Y|X)^2f(y|x)dyf(x),dx + int[mathbbE(Y|X)-mathbbE(Y)]^2 f(x),dx;text since ;mathbbEE(Y|X) = mathbbE(Y)\
&= intint[y^2 -2ymathbbE(Y|X) + mathbbE(Y|X)^2]f(x,y),dy,dx + int[mathbbE(Y|X)^2 -2mathbbE(Y)mathbbE(Y|X)+mathbbE(Y)^2]f(x),dx\
&= cdots
endalign










share|cite|improve this question











$endgroup$




Trying to figure out how to prove this statement
$mathbbV(Y) = mathbbEV(Ymid X) + mathbbVE(Ymid X)$



Tried expanding RHS as follows:



beginalign&= mathbbEV(Ymid X)+mathbbVE(Ymid X)\
&= mathbbE[int [y-mathbbE(Ymid X)]^2f(ymid x),dy] + int[mathbbE(Ymid X)-mathbbEmathbbE(Ymid X)]^2 f(x),dx \
&= intint (y-mathbbE(Y|X)^2f(y|x)dyf(x),dx + int[mathbbE(Y|X)-mathbbE(Y)]^2 f(x),dx;text since ;mathbbEE(Y|X) = mathbbE(Y)\
&= intint[y^2 -2ymathbbE(Y|X) + mathbbE(Y|X)^2]f(x,y),dy,dx + int[mathbbE(Y|X)^2 -2mathbbE(Y)mathbbE(Y|X)+mathbbE(Y)^2]f(x),dx\
&= cdots
endalign







probability statistics






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edited Mar 23 at 0:03









Peiffap

10312




10312










asked Mar 22 at 23:09









ZanderZander

384




384







  • 4




    $begingroup$
    This is the law of total variance. A proof can be found here: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Law_of_total_variance#Proof.
    $endgroup$
    – Minus One-Twelfth
    Mar 22 at 23:11












  • 4




    $begingroup$
    This is the law of total variance. A proof can be found here: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Law_of_total_variance#Proof.
    $endgroup$
    – Minus One-Twelfth
    Mar 22 at 23:11







4




4




$begingroup$
This is the law of total variance. A proof can be found here: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Law_of_total_variance#Proof.
$endgroup$
– Minus One-Twelfth
Mar 22 at 23:11




$begingroup$
This is the law of total variance. A proof can be found here: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Law_of_total_variance#Proof.
$endgroup$
– Minus One-Twelfth
Mar 22 at 23:11










1 Answer
1






active

oldest

votes


















1












$begingroup$

As @Minus One-Twelfth mentioned, this is the law of total variance.



Proof
beginalign
mathbbV[Y] &= mathbbE[Y^2] - mathbbE[Y]^2\
&= mathbbEBig[mathbbE[Y^2 mid X]Big] - mathbbEBig[mathbbE[Y mid X]Big]^2\
&= mathbbEBig[mathbbV[Y mid X] + mathbbE[Y mid X]^2Big] - mathbbEBig[mathbbE[Y mid X]Big]^2\
&= mathbbEBig[mathbbV[Y mid X]Big] + mathbbEBig[mathbbE[Y mid X]^2Big] - mathbbEBig[mathbbE[Y mid X]Big]^2\
&= mathbbEBig[mathbbV[Y mid X]Big] + mathbbVBig[mathbbE[Y mid X]Big],.
endalign



The first step is just the definition of the variance;
the second step is introducing an independent variable $X$,
the third step then applies the definition of variance, but ``the other way around''.
The fourth step uses the linearity of the expected value operator,
and the fifth and final step then reapplies the definition of the variance to group the rightmost terms into a single variance term.






share|cite|improve this answer











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    active

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    1












    $begingroup$

    As @Minus One-Twelfth mentioned, this is the law of total variance.



    Proof
    beginalign
    mathbbV[Y] &= mathbbE[Y^2] - mathbbE[Y]^2\
    &= mathbbEBig[mathbbE[Y^2 mid X]Big] - mathbbEBig[mathbbE[Y mid X]Big]^2\
    &= mathbbEBig[mathbbV[Y mid X] + mathbbE[Y mid X]^2Big] - mathbbEBig[mathbbE[Y mid X]Big]^2\
    &= mathbbEBig[mathbbV[Y mid X]Big] + mathbbEBig[mathbbE[Y mid X]^2Big] - mathbbEBig[mathbbE[Y mid X]Big]^2\
    &= mathbbEBig[mathbbV[Y mid X]Big] + mathbbVBig[mathbbE[Y mid X]Big],.
    endalign



    The first step is just the definition of the variance;
    the second step is introducing an independent variable $X$,
    the third step then applies the definition of variance, but ``the other way around''.
    The fourth step uses the linearity of the expected value operator,
    and the fifth and final step then reapplies the definition of the variance to group the rightmost terms into a single variance term.






    share|cite|improve this answer











    $endgroup$

















      1












      $begingroup$

      As @Minus One-Twelfth mentioned, this is the law of total variance.



      Proof
      beginalign
      mathbbV[Y] &= mathbbE[Y^2] - mathbbE[Y]^2\
      &= mathbbEBig[mathbbE[Y^2 mid X]Big] - mathbbEBig[mathbbE[Y mid X]Big]^2\
      &= mathbbEBig[mathbbV[Y mid X] + mathbbE[Y mid X]^2Big] - mathbbEBig[mathbbE[Y mid X]Big]^2\
      &= mathbbEBig[mathbbV[Y mid X]Big] + mathbbEBig[mathbbE[Y mid X]^2Big] - mathbbEBig[mathbbE[Y mid X]Big]^2\
      &= mathbbEBig[mathbbV[Y mid X]Big] + mathbbVBig[mathbbE[Y mid X]Big],.
      endalign



      The first step is just the definition of the variance;
      the second step is introducing an independent variable $X$,
      the third step then applies the definition of variance, but ``the other way around''.
      The fourth step uses the linearity of the expected value operator,
      and the fifth and final step then reapplies the definition of the variance to group the rightmost terms into a single variance term.






      share|cite|improve this answer











      $endgroup$















        1












        1








        1





        $begingroup$

        As @Minus One-Twelfth mentioned, this is the law of total variance.



        Proof
        beginalign
        mathbbV[Y] &= mathbbE[Y^2] - mathbbE[Y]^2\
        &= mathbbEBig[mathbbE[Y^2 mid X]Big] - mathbbEBig[mathbbE[Y mid X]Big]^2\
        &= mathbbEBig[mathbbV[Y mid X] + mathbbE[Y mid X]^2Big] - mathbbEBig[mathbbE[Y mid X]Big]^2\
        &= mathbbEBig[mathbbV[Y mid X]Big] + mathbbEBig[mathbbE[Y mid X]^2Big] - mathbbEBig[mathbbE[Y mid X]Big]^2\
        &= mathbbEBig[mathbbV[Y mid X]Big] + mathbbVBig[mathbbE[Y mid X]Big],.
        endalign



        The first step is just the definition of the variance;
        the second step is introducing an independent variable $X$,
        the third step then applies the definition of variance, but ``the other way around''.
        The fourth step uses the linearity of the expected value operator,
        and the fifth and final step then reapplies the definition of the variance to group the rightmost terms into a single variance term.






        share|cite|improve this answer











        $endgroup$



        As @Minus One-Twelfth mentioned, this is the law of total variance.



        Proof
        beginalign
        mathbbV[Y] &= mathbbE[Y^2] - mathbbE[Y]^2\
        &= mathbbEBig[mathbbE[Y^2 mid X]Big] - mathbbEBig[mathbbE[Y mid X]Big]^2\
        &= mathbbEBig[mathbbV[Y mid X] + mathbbE[Y mid X]^2Big] - mathbbEBig[mathbbE[Y mid X]Big]^2\
        &= mathbbEBig[mathbbV[Y mid X]Big] + mathbbEBig[mathbbE[Y mid X]^2Big] - mathbbEBig[mathbbE[Y mid X]Big]^2\
        &= mathbbEBig[mathbbV[Y mid X]Big] + mathbbVBig[mathbbE[Y mid X]Big],.
        endalign



        The first step is just the definition of the variance;
        the second step is introducing an independent variable $X$,
        the third step then applies the definition of variance, but ``the other way around''.
        The fourth step uses the linearity of the expected value operator,
        and the fifth and final step then reapplies the definition of the variance to group the rightmost terms into a single variance term.







        share|cite|improve this answer














        share|cite|improve this answer



        share|cite|improve this answer








        edited Mar 22 at 23:39

























        answered Mar 22 at 23:33









        PeiffapPeiffap

        10312




        10312



























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