Let $X_n$ be the maximum score obtained after $n$ throws of a fair dice. Show that $(X_n)_ninmathbbN $ is a Markov Chain. Announcing the arrival of Valued Associate #679: Cesar Manara Planned maintenance scheduled April 17/18, 2019 at 00:00UTC (8:00pm US/Eastern)Why is this infinite-state-space Markov chain positive recurrent?Which of the following processes are Markov chains?Show that a Markov Chain is ergodicIdentifying markov chainsis the largest number $X_n$ shown up to the nth roll a Markov chain?Let $X_n=a X_n-1+theta_n$. Show that $mathrmPleft( lim_nrightarrow infty X_n in left-infty,infty right right)=1.$Show directly that $left|Pi^n(x,cdot)-piright|_TV longrightarrow 0$ where $Pi$ is transition matrix of a Markov chain.Calculate the transition matrix of $X_n+1:= sum_i=0^X_ntheta_n^i:: mboxmod 5.$ where $theta_n^isim Bin(3,1/3)$ i.i.d.Find the invariant measure $pi=(pi_1,pi_2,pi_3)$ for a Markov Chain with transition matrix given.Prove this process is Markov chain
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Let $X_n$ be the maximum score obtained after $n$ throws of a fair dice. Show that $(X_n)_ninmathbbN $ is a Markov Chain.
Announcing the arrival of Valued Associate #679: Cesar Manara
Planned maintenance scheduled April 17/18, 2019 at 00:00UTC (8:00pm US/Eastern)Why is this infinite-state-space Markov chain positive recurrent?Which of the following processes are Markov chains?Show that a Markov Chain is ergodicIdentifying markov chainsis the largest number $X_n$ shown up to the nth roll a Markov chain?Let $X_n=a X_n-1+theta_n$. Show that $mathrmPleft( lim_nrightarrow infty X_n in left-infty,infty right right)=1.$Show directly that $left|Pi^n(x,cdot)-piright|_TV longrightarrow 0$ where $Pi$ is transition matrix of a Markov chain.Calculate the transition matrix of $X_n+1:= sum_i=0^X_ntheta_n^i:: mboxmod 5.$ where $theta_n^isim Bin(3,1/3)$ i.i.d.Find the invariant measure $pi=(pi_1,pi_2,pi_3)$ for a Markov Chain with transition matrix given.Prove this process is Markov chain
$begingroup$
Let $(X_n)_ninmathbbN $ be a sequence of randon variables defined by
$$X_n:=mboxmaximum score obtained after n mbox throws of a fair dice.$$
I need show that $(X_n)_ninmathbbN $ is a Markov Chain. In this sense, we have to show that
$$P(X_n+1=i_n+1|X_1=i_1,X_2=i_2,ldots,X_n=i_n)=P(X_n+1=i_n+1|X_n=i_n)tag1$$
I know that if we consider the random variable $Y_k$ which are the result of $k$th throw of our fair dice, then $(Y_k)_kinmathbbN$ is iid with uniform distribution over $left1,2,3,4,5,6right$, so, we have $X_n=maxleftY_1,ldots,Y_nright$. Furthermore, the cumulative distribution of $X_n$ is
$$F_X_n(k)=left{beginarrayll
0 & mathrmif: k<1 \
fraci^n6^n & mathrmif: ileq k <i+1 :: mathrmfor: i=1,2,3,4,5.\
1 & mathrmif:: kgeq 6
endarrayright.$$
Therefore, (1) is equivalent to
$$P(maxleftY_1,ldots,Y_n,Y_n+1right=i_n+1|Y_1=i_1,maxleftY_1,Y_2right=i_2,ldots,maxleftY_1,ldots,Y_nright=i_n)=P(maxleftY_1,ldots,Y_n,Y_n+1right=i_n+1|maxleftY_1,ldots,Y_nright=i_n)$$
I have not been able to prove this last, I need help in this matter.
stochastic-processes markov-chains markov-process
$endgroup$
add a comment |
$begingroup$
Let $(X_n)_ninmathbbN $ be a sequence of randon variables defined by
$$X_n:=mboxmaximum score obtained after n mbox throws of a fair dice.$$
I need show that $(X_n)_ninmathbbN $ is a Markov Chain. In this sense, we have to show that
$$P(X_n+1=i_n+1|X_1=i_1,X_2=i_2,ldots,X_n=i_n)=P(X_n+1=i_n+1|X_n=i_n)tag1$$
I know that if we consider the random variable $Y_k$ which are the result of $k$th throw of our fair dice, then $(Y_k)_kinmathbbN$ is iid with uniform distribution over $left1,2,3,4,5,6right$, so, we have $X_n=maxleftY_1,ldots,Y_nright$. Furthermore, the cumulative distribution of $X_n$ is
$$F_X_n(k)=left{beginarrayll
0 & mathrmif: k<1 \
fraci^n6^n & mathrmif: ileq k <i+1 :: mathrmfor: i=1,2,3,4,5.\
1 & mathrmif:: kgeq 6
endarrayright.$$
Therefore, (1) is equivalent to
$$P(maxleftY_1,ldots,Y_n,Y_n+1right=i_n+1|Y_1=i_1,maxleftY_1,Y_2right=i_2,ldots,maxleftY_1,ldots,Y_nright=i_n)=P(maxleftY_1,ldots,Y_n,Y_n+1right=i_n+1|maxleftY_1,ldots,Y_nright=i_n)$$
I have not been able to prove this last, I need help in this matter.
stochastic-processes markov-chains markov-process
$endgroup$
add a comment |
$begingroup$
Let $(X_n)_ninmathbbN $ be a sequence of randon variables defined by
$$X_n:=mboxmaximum score obtained after n mbox throws of a fair dice.$$
I need show that $(X_n)_ninmathbbN $ is a Markov Chain. In this sense, we have to show that
$$P(X_n+1=i_n+1|X_1=i_1,X_2=i_2,ldots,X_n=i_n)=P(X_n+1=i_n+1|X_n=i_n)tag1$$
I know that if we consider the random variable $Y_k$ which are the result of $k$th throw of our fair dice, then $(Y_k)_kinmathbbN$ is iid with uniform distribution over $left1,2,3,4,5,6right$, so, we have $X_n=maxleftY_1,ldots,Y_nright$. Furthermore, the cumulative distribution of $X_n$ is
$$F_X_n(k)=left{beginarrayll
0 & mathrmif: k<1 \
fraci^n6^n & mathrmif: ileq k <i+1 :: mathrmfor: i=1,2,3,4,5.\
1 & mathrmif:: kgeq 6
endarrayright.$$
Therefore, (1) is equivalent to
$$P(maxleftY_1,ldots,Y_n,Y_n+1right=i_n+1|Y_1=i_1,maxleftY_1,Y_2right=i_2,ldots,maxleftY_1,ldots,Y_nright=i_n)=P(maxleftY_1,ldots,Y_n,Y_n+1right=i_n+1|maxleftY_1,ldots,Y_nright=i_n)$$
I have not been able to prove this last, I need help in this matter.
stochastic-processes markov-chains markov-process
$endgroup$
Let $(X_n)_ninmathbbN $ be a sequence of randon variables defined by
$$X_n:=mboxmaximum score obtained after n mbox throws of a fair dice.$$
I need show that $(X_n)_ninmathbbN $ is a Markov Chain. In this sense, we have to show that
$$P(X_n+1=i_n+1|X_1=i_1,X_2=i_2,ldots,X_n=i_n)=P(X_n+1=i_n+1|X_n=i_n)tag1$$
I know that if we consider the random variable $Y_k$ which are the result of $k$th throw of our fair dice, then $(Y_k)_kinmathbbN$ is iid with uniform distribution over $left1,2,3,4,5,6right$, so, we have $X_n=maxleftY_1,ldots,Y_nright$. Furthermore, the cumulative distribution of $X_n$ is
$$F_X_n(k)=left{beginarrayll
0 & mathrmif: k<1 \
fraci^n6^n & mathrmif: ileq k <i+1 :: mathrmfor: i=1,2,3,4,5.\
1 & mathrmif:: kgeq 6
endarrayright.$$
Therefore, (1) is equivalent to
$$P(maxleftY_1,ldots,Y_n,Y_n+1right=i_n+1|Y_1=i_1,maxleftY_1,Y_2right=i_2,ldots,maxleftY_1,ldots,Y_nright=i_n)=P(maxleftY_1,ldots,Y_n,Y_n+1right=i_n+1|maxleftY_1,ldots,Y_nright=i_n)$$
I have not been able to prove this last, I need help in this matter.
stochastic-processes markov-chains markov-process
stochastic-processes markov-chains markov-process
edited Mar 8 '17 at 2:49
David G. Stork
12.2k41836
12.2k41836
asked Mar 8 '17 at 2:24
Diego FonsecaDiego Fonseca
1,384622
1,384622
add a comment |
add a comment |
3 Answers
3
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votes
$begingroup$
Here is the Markov transition graph for your problem, where the states are labeled by the current maximum and $0$ represents the initial state:
All you need do is calculate the probabilities for the transitions and see that the final state (the sole attractor) is (in probability) $6$. Each transition depends solely on the current state, not the sequence that led to the current state.
$endgroup$
add a comment |
$begingroup$
Note that $$X_n+1=max Y_1,dots,Y_n+1 = max maxY_1,dots,Y_n,Y_n+1 = max X_n,Y_n+1.$$
So $X_n+1$ only depends on $X_n$ and none of the $X_i$ for $i<n$.
$endgroup$
add a comment |
$begingroup$
Markov Matrix for one-step transition probability would be
beginbmatrix
frac16 & frac16 & frac16 & frac16 & frac16 & frac16 \
0 & frac26 & frac16 & frac16 & frac16 & frac16 \
0 & 0 & frac36 & frac16 & frac16 & frac16 \
0 & 0 & 0 & frac46 & frac16 & frac16 \
0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & frac56 & frac16 \
0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 1
endbmatrix
The long term limiting probabilities would be as followed
beginalign
pi_6 &= 1 & pi_1 &= pi_2 = pi_3 = pi_4 = pi_5 = 0
endalign
$endgroup$
add a comment |
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3 Answers
3
active
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3 Answers
3
active
oldest
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active
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votes
$begingroup$
Here is the Markov transition graph for your problem, where the states are labeled by the current maximum and $0$ represents the initial state:
All you need do is calculate the probabilities for the transitions and see that the final state (the sole attractor) is (in probability) $6$. Each transition depends solely on the current state, not the sequence that led to the current state.
$endgroup$
add a comment |
$begingroup$
Here is the Markov transition graph for your problem, where the states are labeled by the current maximum and $0$ represents the initial state:
All you need do is calculate the probabilities for the transitions and see that the final state (the sole attractor) is (in probability) $6$. Each transition depends solely on the current state, not the sequence that led to the current state.
$endgroup$
add a comment |
$begingroup$
Here is the Markov transition graph for your problem, where the states are labeled by the current maximum and $0$ represents the initial state:
All you need do is calculate the probabilities for the transitions and see that the final state (the sole attractor) is (in probability) $6$. Each transition depends solely on the current state, not the sequence that led to the current state.
$endgroup$
Here is the Markov transition graph for your problem, where the states are labeled by the current maximum and $0$ represents the initial state:
All you need do is calculate the probabilities for the transitions and see that the final state (the sole attractor) is (in probability) $6$. Each transition depends solely on the current state, not the sequence that led to the current state.
edited Mar 8 '17 at 2:52
answered Mar 8 '17 at 2:43
David G. StorkDavid G. Stork
12.2k41836
12.2k41836
add a comment |
add a comment |
$begingroup$
Note that $$X_n+1=max Y_1,dots,Y_n+1 = max maxY_1,dots,Y_n,Y_n+1 = max X_n,Y_n+1.$$
So $X_n+1$ only depends on $X_n$ and none of the $X_i$ for $i<n$.
$endgroup$
add a comment |
$begingroup$
Note that $$X_n+1=max Y_1,dots,Y_n+1 = max maxY_1,dots,Y_n,Y_n+1 = max X_n,Y_n+1.$$
So $X_n+1$ only depends on $X_n$ and none of the $X_i$ for $i<n$.
$endgroup$
add a comment |
$begingroup$
Note that $$X_n+1=max Y_1,dots,Y_n+1 = max maxY_1,dots,Y_n,Y_n+1 = max X_n,Y_n+1.$$
So $X_n+1$ only depends on $X_n$ and none of the $X_i$ for $i<n$.
$endgroup$
Note that $$X_n+1=max Y_1,dots,Y_n+1 = max maxY_1,dots,Y_n,Y_n+1 = max X_n,Y_n+1.$$
So $X_n+1$ only depends on $X_n$ and none of the $X_i$ for $i<n$.
answered Mar 8 '17 at 2:43
Nathan H.Nathan H.
51428
51428
add a comment |
add a comment |
$begingroup$
Markov Matrix for one-step transition probability would be
beginbmatrix
frac16 & frac16 & frac16 & frac16 & frac16 & frac16 \
0 & frac26 & frac16 & frac16 & frac16 & frac16 \
0 & 0 & frac36 & frac16 & frac16 & frac16 \
0 & 0 & 0 & frac46 & frac16 & frac16 \
0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & frac56 & frac16 \
0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 1
endbmatrix
The long term limiting probabilities would be as followed
beginalign
pi_6 &= 1 & pi_1 &= pi_2 = pi_3 = pi_4 = pi_5 = 0
endalign
$endgroup$
add a comment |
$begingroup$
Markov Matrix for one-step transition probability would be
beginbmatrix
frac16 & frac16 & frac16 & frac16 & frac16 & frac16 \
0 & frac26 & frac16 & frac16 & frac16 & frac16 \
0 & 0 & frac36 & frac16 & frac16 & frac16 \
0 & 0 & 0 & frac46 & frac16 & frac16 \
0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & frac56 & frac16 \
0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 1
endbmatrix
The long term limiting probabilities would be as followed
beginalign
pi_6 &= 1 & pi_1 &= pi_2 = pi_3 = pi_4 = pi_5 = 0
endalign
$endgroup$
add a comment |
$begingroup$
Markov Matrix for one-step transition probability would be
beginbmatrix
frac16 & frac16 & frac16 & frac16 & frac16 & frac16 \
0 & frac26 & frac16 & frac16 & frac16 & frac16 \
0 & 0 & frac36 & frac16 & frac16 & frac16 \
0 & 0 & 0 & frac46 & frac16 & frac16 \
0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & frac56 & frac16 \
0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 1
endbmatrix
The long term limiting probabilities would be as followed
beginalign
pi_6 &= 1 & pi_1 &= pi_2 = pi_3 = pi_4 = pi_5 = 0
endalign
$endgroup$
Markov Matrix for one-step transition probability would be
beginbmatrix
frac16 & frac16 & frac16 & frac16 & frac16 & frac16 \
0 & frac26 & frac16 & frac16 & frac16 & frac16 \
0 & 0 & frac36 & frac16 & frac16 & frac16 \
0 & 0 & 0 & frac46 & frac16 & frac16 \
0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & frac56 & frac16 \
0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 1
endbmatrix
The long term limiting probabilities would be as followed
beginalign
pi_6 &= 1 & pi_1 &= pi_2 = pi_3 = pi_4 = pi_5 = 0
endalign
edited Mar 25 at 21:57
Lee David Chung Lin
4,50841342
4,50841342
answered Mar 25 at 20:05
Vatsal GandhiVatsal Gandhi
1
1
add a comment |
add a comment |
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