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“Popularity Principle” in Probability



Announcing the arrival of Valued Associate #679: Cesar Manara
Planned maintenance scheduled April 17/18, 2019 at 00:00UTC (8:00pm US/Eastern)Does this probability distribution have a name?A, B, C and D, and we are trying to find the probability that exactly one event occurs.Joint probability of two random variables both following poisson distributionExpectation of of joint probability distributionApplication of the pigeon hole principleTransformation of a non one-to-one probability mass function?A question in probability and combinatoricsProblem with my intuition concerning probabilities of dependent events and conditional probabilityDuel question, why shoot when $P_1 (s)+P_2 (s)=1$High F-Statistic Value and negative Probability for Granger Causality Result, Interpretation?










1












$begingroup$


I am having trouble showing that for a non-negative random variable $X$, $textbfE(Xcdot I(X>frac12textbfE(X)) geq frac12textbfE(X)$. Intuitively, I see why this is true -- if we reduce the values of $X$ to zero for all values below $frac12textbfE(X)$, then the "weight" of $X$ that occurs above $textbfE(X)$ should make it so that even if all the rest of the "weight" of $X$ occurs at $0$ (which would make $textbfE(X)$ as low as possible), then this would still cause the center of mass to be at least $frac12textbfE(X)$. But I'm having trouble actually showing this principle.



Any help would be greatly appreciated.










share|cite|improve this question









$endgroup$
















    1












    $begingroup$


    I am having trouble showing that for a non-negative random variable $X$, $textbfE(Xcdot I(X>frac12textbfE(X)) geq frac12textbfE(X)$. Intuitively, I see why this is true -- if we reduce the values of $X$ to zero for all values below $frac12textbfE(X)$, then the "weight" of $X$ that occurs above $textbfE(X)$ should make it so that even if all the rest of the "weight" of $X$ occurs at $0$ (which would make $textbfE(X)$ as low as possible), then this would still cause the center of mass to be at least $frac12textbfE(X)$. But I'm having trouble actually showing this principle.



    Any help would be greatly appreciated.










    share|cite|improve this question









    $endgroup$














      1












      1








      1





      $begingroup$


      I am having trouble showing that for a non-negative random variable $X$, $textbfE(Xcdot I(X>frac12textbfE(X)) geq frac12textbfE(X)$. Intuitively, I see why this is true -- if we reduce the values of $X$ to zero for all values below $frac12textbfE(X)$, then the "weight" of $X$ that occurs above $textbfE(X)$ should make it so that even if all the rest of the "weight" of $X$ occurs at $0$ (which would make $textbfE(X)$ as low as possible), then this would still cause the center of mass to be at least $frac12textbfE(X)$. But I'm having trouble actually showing this principle.



      Any help would be greatly appreciated.










      share|cite|improve this question









      $endgroup$




      I am having trouble showing that for a non-negative random variable $X$, $textbfE(Xcdot I(X>frac12textbfE(X)) geq frac12textbfE(X)$. Intuitively, I see why this is true -- if we reduce the values of $X$ to zero for all values below $frac12textbfE(X)$, then the "weight" of $X$ that occurs above $textbfE(X)$ should make it so that even if all the rest of the "weight" of $X$ occurs at $0$ (which would make $textbfE(X)$ as low as possible), then this would still cause the center of mass to be at least $frac12textbfE(X)$. But I'm having trouble actually showing this principle.



      Any help would be greatly appreciated.







      probability






      share|cite|improve this question













      share|cite|improve this question











      share|cite|improve this question




      share|cite|improve this question










      asked Mar 26 at 17:10









      DJGDJG

      485




      485




















          1 Answer
          1






          active

          oldest

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          1












          $begingroup$

          Perhaps this might work for you:



          • $ Xcdot I(Xle frac12textbfE(X)) leq frac12textbfE(X)$ as a bounded random variable


          • so $textbfE(Xcdot I(Xle frac12textbfE(X)) leq frac12textbfE(X)$ taking expectations


          • while $textbfE(Xcdot I(Xle frac12textbfE(X)) + textbfE(Xcdot I(Xgt frac12textbfE(X)) = textbfE(X)$ by linearity of expectation


          • so $textbfE(Xcdot I(Xgt frac12textbfE(X)) geq frac12textbfE(X)$ by subtraction






          share|cite|improve this answer









          $endgroup$












          • $begingroup$
            That makes sense, thank you! Now I just have to think about how to turn my intuition into something like this.
            $endgroup$
            – DJG
            Mar 26 at 17:47











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          1 Answer
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          oldest

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          1 Answer
          1






          active

          oldest

          votes









          active

          oldest

          votes






          active

          oldest

          votes









          1












          $begingroup$

          Perhaps this might work for you:



          • $ Xcdot I(Xle frac12textbfE(X)) leq frac12textbfE(X)$ as a bounded random variable


          • so $textbfE(Xcdot I(Xle frac12textbfE(X)) leq frac12textbfE(X)$ taking expectations


          • while $textbfE(Xcdot I(Xle frac12textbfE(X)) + textbfE(Xcdot I(Xgt frac12textbfE(X)) = textbfE(X)$ by linearity of expectation


          • so $textbfE(Xcdot I(Xgt frac12textbfE(X)) geq frac12textbfE(X)$ by subtraction






          share|cite|improve this answer









          $endgroup$












          • $begingroup$
            That makes sense, thank you! Now I just have to think about how to turn my intuition into something like this.
            $endgroup$
            – DJG
            Mar 26 at 17:47















          1












          $begingroup$

          Perhaps this might work for you:



          • $ Xcdot I(Xle frac12textbfE(X)) leq frac12textbfE(X)$ as a bounded random variable


          • so $textbfE(Xcdot I(Xle frac12textbfE(X)) leq frac12textbfE(X)$ taking expectations


          • while $textbfE(Xcdot I(Xle frac12textbfE(X)) + textbfE(Xcdot I(Xgt frac12textbfE(X)) = textbfE(X)$ by linearity of expectation


          • so $textbfE(Xcdot I(Xgt frac12textbfE(X)) geq frac12textbfE(X)$ by subtraction






          share|cite|improve this answer









          $endgroup$












          • $begingroup$
            That makes sense, thank you! Now I just have to think about how to turn my intuition into something like this.
            $endgroup$
            – DJG
            Mar 26 at 17:47













          1












          1








          1





          $begingroup$

          Perhaps this might work for you:



          • $ Xcdot I(Xle frac12textbfE(X)) leq frac12textbfE(X)$ as a bounded random variable


          • so $textbfE(Xcdot I(Xle frac12textbfE(X)) leq frac12textbfE(X)$ taking expectations


          • while $textbfE(Xcdot I(Xle frac12textbfE(X)) + textbfE(Xcdot I(Xgt frac12textbfE(X)) = textbfE(X)$ by linearity of expectation


          • so $textbfE(Xcdot I(Xgt frac12textbfE(X)) geq frac12textbfE(X)$ by subtraction






          share|cite|improve this answer









          $endgroup$



          Perhaps this might work for you:



          • $ Xcdot I(Xle frac12textbfE(X)) leq frac12textbfE(X)$ as a bounded random variable


          • so $textbfE(Xcdot I(Xle frac12textbfE(X)) leq frac12textbfE(X)$ taking expectations


          • while $textbfE(Xcdot I(Xle frac12textbfE(X)) + textbfE(Xcdot I(Xgt frac12textbfE(X)) = textbfE(X)$ by linearity of expectation


          • so $textbfE(Xcdot I(Xgt frac12textbfE(X)) geq frac12textbfE(X)$ by subtraction







          share|cite|improve this answer












          share|cite|improve this answer



          share|cite|improve this answer










          answered Mar 26 at 17:34









          HenryHenry

          101k482170




          101k482170











          • $begingroup$
            That makes sense, thank you! Now I just have to think about how to turn my intuition into something like this.
            $endgroup$
            – DJG
            Mar 26 at 17:47
















          • $begingroup$
            That makes sense, thank you! Now I just have to think about how to turn my intuition into something like this.
            $endgroup$
            – DJG
            Mar 26 at 17:47















          $begingroup$
          That makes sense, thank you! Now I just have to think about how to turn my intuition into something like this.
          $endgroup$
          – DJG
          Mar 26 at 17:47




          $begingroup$
          That makes sense, thank you! Now I just have to think about how to turn my intuition into something like this.
          $endgroup$
          – DJG
          Mar 26 at 17:47

















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