Central limit theorem example Announcing the arrival of Valued Associate #679: Cesar Manara Planned maintenance scheduled April 23, 2019 at 00:00UTC (8:00pm US/Eastern)Expected wait time for multiple near-simultaneous failuresIn what cases do I use these formulas?Probabillity of failures involving exponential distributionCentral Limit Theorem for functions of random variablesApplication of Central Limit Theorem where $n=39$ only.Approximately calculate the probability that the average lifetime of all the bulbs in a particular box exceeds $2500$ hours.Central Limit Theorem and Mean time between failuresFind expected value of exponential distributionCentral limit theorem for sequence of Gamma-distributed random variables.Use the Central Limit Theorem to deduce that if $λ$ is large, then $X$ approximately has a normal distribution.
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Central limit theorem example
Announcing the arrival of Valued Associate #679: Cesar Manara
Planned maintenance scheduled April 23, 2019 at 00:00UTC (8:00pm US/Eastern)Expected wait time for multiple near-simultaneous failuresIn what cases do I use these formulas?Probabillity of failures involving exponential distributionCentral Limit Theorem for functions of random variablesApplication of Central Limit Theorem where $n=39$ only.Approximately calculate the probability that the average lifetime of all the bulbs in a particular box exceeds $2500$ hours.Central Limit Theorem and Mean time between failuresFind expected value of exponential distributionCentral limit theorem for sequence of Gamma-distributed random variables.Use the Central Limit Theorem to deduce that if $λ$ is large, then $X$ approximately has a normal distribution.
$begingroup$
I am not able to make progress with the following exercise.
Assignment:
The advertising board is lit by one 100W bulb. Using the central limit theorem determine the minimum number of bulbs needed for advertising board lighting for 20 000 hours with probability at least 0.9. Bulb life has the exponential distribution and average life of the 100W bulb is 600 hour.
My progress:
$X_ text ..... texttotal time of bulb life$
$X_i sim Exp(lambda)$
$Ex= frac1lambda implies lambda = frac1Ex $
$ Ex = 600$
$ lambda = frac1600 $
$Dx = frac1lambda^2 $
$Dx = frac1(frac1600)^2 = 360000$
$X sim N(mu,sigma^2)$
$ mu = frac1600; sigma^2=360000$
Now I am don't how to continue. I expected some equation like this:
$ P(X > 20000) geq 0.9$
Can you please give me any hints on how to continue?
Thanks
probability statistics central-limit-theorem
$endgroup$
add a comment |
$begingroup$
I am not able to make progress with the following exercise.
Assignment:
The advertising board is lit by one 100W bulb. Using the central limit theorem determine the minimum number of bulbs needed for advertising board lighting for 20 000 hours with probability at least 0.9. Bulb life has the exponential distribution and average life of the 100W bulb is 600 hour.
My progress:
$X_ text ..... texttotal time of bulb life$
$X_i sim Exp(lambda)$
$Ex= frac1lambda implies lambda = frac1Ex $
$ Ex = 600$
$ lambda = frac1600 $
$Dx = frac1lambda^2 $
$Dx = frac1(frac1600)^2 = 360000$
$X sim N(mu,sigma^2)$
$ mu = frac1600; sigma^2=360000$
Now I am don't how to continue. I expected some equation like this:
$ P(X > 20000) geq 0.9$
Can you please give me any hints on how to continue?
Thanks
probability statistics central-limit-theorem
$endgroup$
add a comment |
$begingroup$
I am not able to make progress with the following exercise.
Assignment:
The advertising board is lit by one 100W bulb. Using the central limit theorem determine the minimum number of bulbs needed for advertising board lighting for 20 000 hours with probability at least 0.9. Bulb life has the exponential distribution and average life of the 100W bulb is 600 hour.
My progress:
$X_ text ..... texttotal time of bulb life$
$X_i sim Exp(lambda)$
$Ex= frac1lambda implies lambda = frac1Ex $
$ Ex = 600$
$ lambda = frac1600 $
$Dx = frac1lambda^2 $
$Dx = frac1(frac1600)^2 = 360000$
$X sim N(mu,sigma^2)$
$ mu = frac1600; sigma^2=360000$
Now I am don't how to continue. I expected some equation like this:
$ P(X > 20000) geq 0.9$
Can you please give me any hints on how to continue?
Thanks
probability statistics central-limit-theorem
$endgroup$
I am not able to make progress with the following exercise.
Assignment:
The advertising board is lit by one 100W bulb. Using the central limit theorem determine the minimum number of bulbs needed for advertising board lighting for 20 000 hours with probability at least 0.9. Bulb life has the exponential distribution and average life of the 100W bulb is 600 hour.
My progress:
$X_ text ..... texttotal time of bulb life$
$X_i sim Exp(lambda)$
$Ex= frac1lambda implies lambda = frac1Ex $
$ Ex = 600$
$ lambda = frac1600 $
$Dx = frac1lambda^2 $
$Dx = frac1(frac1600)^2 = 360000$
$X sim N(mu,sigma^2)$
$ mu = frac1600; sigma^2=360000$
Now I am don't how to continue. I expected some equation like this:
$ P(X > 20000) geq 0.9$
Can you please give me any hints on how to continue?
Thanks
probability statistics central-limit-theorem
probability statistics central-limit-theorem
edited Mar 28 at 23:01
user4362081
asked Mar 27 at 19:31
user4362081user4362081
536
536
add a comment |
add a comment |
2 Answers
2
active
oldest
votes
$begingroup$
$
S = X_1+X_2+...+X_n xrightarrow[]d N( nmu, nsigma^2),
$ where $mu=1/lambda=EX_i,$ and $sigma^2 = 1/lambda^2=Var(X_i).$
Then,
$$P(S>T_0) = 1-P(S<T_0) = 1-Phi(fracT_0 - nmusqrtnsigma)>0.9,
$$
where $T_0=20,000.$
Thus,
$$Phi(fracT_0 - nmusqrtnsigma)<0.1 implies fracT_0 - nmusqrtnsigma < q_0.1,
$$ where $q_0.1 = -1.281552$ is the tenth percentile of the standard normal (corresponding to the probability of standard normal equal to $0.1$.
Solving for $n$ in the quadratic equation $T_0 - nmu = sqrtnsigma q_0.1$ yields $n=42$.
$endgroup$
$begingroup$
Thank you for the more detailed description. Now I understand the procedure. Can I ask you how do you get $T_0 - nmu = sqrtnsigma q_0.1$ from $fracT_0 - nmusqrtnsigma < q_0.1$ ? Shouldn't it be $T_0 - nmu < sqrtnsigma q_0.1$?
$endgroup$
– user4362081
Mar 28 at 18:50
$begingroup$
In order to solve a quadratic equation in a usual way -- hence the '=' sign.
$endgroup$
– dnqxt
Mar 28 at 18:54
$begingroup$
Ok, I'm still not able to get $n=42$ the result. Can you please give me some tip on how to continue with $T_0 - nmu = sqrtnsigma q_0.1$? I tried various adjustment of equations but still nothing.
$endgroup$
– user4362081
Mar 28 at 19:29
$begingroup$
Square both sides of the equation, collect the $n$-terms and solve.
$endgroup$
– dnqxt
Mar 28 at 19:36
$begingroup$
Can you please check my progress? $ T_0 - nmu = sqrtnsigma q_0.1 \ (T_0 - nmu)^2 = (sqrtnsigma q_0.1)^2 \ T_0^2 - 2T_0nmu +n^2mu^2 = nsigma^2q_0.1^2 \ T_0^2 - 2T_0nmu - nsigma^2q_0.1^2 + n^2mu^2 = 0 $
$endgroup$
– user4362081
Mar 28 at 19:57
|
show 7 more comments
$begingroup$
Adopting your notation, the central limit theorem intuitively says that for very large integers $n$, the distribution of
$$ frac1sqrt n sum_i=1^n X_i $$
is approximately $N(mu,sigma^2)$.
I believe the exercise is asking you to say that the answer $n$ lightbulbs that you need is large enough to use the approximation:
$$ frac1sqrt n sum_i=1^n X_i sim N(mu,sigma^2) tag1$$
This will be useful, because you can write the event of $n$ light bulbs lasting $20,000$-hours in terms of $X_1,ldots,X_n$.
Try to do this, and then rewrite it in terms of the scaled distribution in (1).
You will instead see that you want $P(Xgeq f(n)) geq 0.9$, where $f(n)$ is an expression that depends on $n$ — not only $20,000$.
$endgroup$
$begingroup$
I don't fully understand of step: This will be useful because you can write the event of n light bulbs lasting 20,000-hours in terms of $X_1,...,X_n$. Can you please explain more details?
$endgroup$
– user4362081
Mar 27 at 20:33
$begingroup$
Yeah! Since $X_i$ is the bulb life of the $i$-th light bulb, the combined life of $n$ light bulbs is $X_1+X_2+cdots+X_n$. To say that the $n$ light bulbs lasts more than $20,000$-hours would mean that $X_1+X_2+cdots+X_ngeq 20,000$.
$endgroup$
– mvarble
Mar 27 at 21:17
$begingroup$
Sorry, it's still not clear to me. How I can use claim $X_1+X_2+cdots+X_ngeq 20,000$ in the next steps please?
$endgroup$
– user4362081
Mar 27 at 21:32
add a comment |
Your Answer
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2 Answers
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2 Answers
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$begingroup$
$
S = X_1+X_2+...+X_n xrightarrow[]d N( nmu, nsigma^2),
$ where $mu=1/lambda=EX_i,$ and $sigma^2 = 1/lambda^2=Var(X_i).$
Then,
$$P(S>T_0) = 1-P(S<T_0) = 1-Phi(fracT_0 - nmusqrtnsigma)>0.9,
$$
where $T_0=20,000.$
Thus,
$$Phi(fracT_0 - nmusqrtnsigma)<0.1 implies fracT_0 - nmusqrtnsigma < q_0.1,
$$ where $q_0.1 = -1.281552$ is the tenth percentile of the standard normal (corresponding to the probability of standard normal equal to $0.1$.
Solving for $n$ in the quadratic equation $T_0 - nmu = sqrtnsigma q_0.1$ yields $n=42$.
$endgroup$
$begingroup$
Thank you for the more detailed description. Now I understand the procedure. Can I ask you how do you get $T_0 - nmu = sqrtnsigma q_0.1$ from $fracT_0 - nmusqrtnsigma < q_0.1$ ? Shouldn't it be $T_0 - nmu < sqrtnsigma q_0.1$?
$endgroup$
– user4362081
Mar 28 at 18:50
$begingroup$
In order to solve a quadratic equation in a usual way -- hence the '=' sign.
$endgroup$
– dnqxt
Mar 28 at 18:54
$begingroup$
Ok, I'm still not able to get $n=42$ the result. Can you please give me some tip on how to continue with $T_0 - nmu = sqrtnsigma q_0.1$? I tried various adjustment of equations but still nothing.
$endgroup$
– user4362081
Mar 28 at 19:29
$begingroup$
Square both sides of the equation, collect the $n$-terms and solve.
$endgroup$
– dnqxt
Mar 28 at 19:36
$begingroup$
Can you please check my progress? $ T_0 - nmu = sqrtnsigma q_0.1 \ (T_0 - nmu)^2 = (sqrtnsigma q_0.1)^2 \ T_0^2 - 2T_0nmu +n^2mu^2 = nsigma^2q_0.1^2 \ T_0^2 - 2T_0nmu - nsigma^2q_0.1^2 + n^2mu^2 = 0 $
$endgroup$
– user4362081
Mar 28 at 19:57
|
show 7 more comments
$begingroup$
$
S = X_1+X_2+...+X_n xrightarrow[]d N( nmu, nsigma^2),
$ where $mu=1/lambda=EX_i,$ and $sigma^2 = 1/lambda^2=Var(X_i).$
Then,
$$P(S>T_0) = 1-P(S<T_0) = 1-Phi(fracT_0 - nmusqrtnsigma)>0.9,
$$
where $T_0=20,000.$
Thus,
$$Phi(fracT_0 - nmusqrtnsigma)<0.1 implies fracT_0 - nmusqrtnsigma < q_0.1,
$$ where $q_0.1 = -1.281552$ is the tenth percentile of the standard normal (corresponding to the probability of standard normal equal to $0.1$.
Solving for $n$ in the quadratic equation $T_0 - nmu = sqrtnsigma q_0.1$ yields $n=42$.
$endgroup$
$begingroup$
Thank you for the more detailed description. Now I understand the procedure. Can I ask you how do you get $T_0 - nmu = sqrtnsigma q_0.1$ from $fracT_0 - nmusqrtnsigma < q_0.1$ ? Shouldn't it be $T_0 - nmu < sqrtnsigma q_0.1$?
$endgroup$
– user4362081
Mar 28 at 18:50
$begingroup$
In order to solve a quadratic equation in a usual way -- hence the '=' sign.
$endgroup$
– dnqxt
Mar 28 at 18:54
$begingroup$
Ok, I'm still not able to get $n=42$ the result. Can you please give me some tip on how to continue with $T_0 - nmu = sqrtnsigma q_0.1$? I tried various adjustment of equations but still nothing.
$endgroup$
– user4362081
Mar 28 at 19:29
$begingroup$
Square both sides of the equation, collect the $n$-terms and solve.
$endgroup$
– dnqxt
Mar 28 at 19:36
$begingroup$
Can you please check my progress? $ T_0 - nmu = sqrtnsigma q_0.1 \ (T_0 - nmu)^2 = (sqrtnsigma q_0.1)^2 \ T_0^2 - 2T_0nmu +n^2mu^2 = nsigma^2q_0.1^2 \ T_0^2 - 2T_0nmu - nsigma^2q_0.1^2 + n^2mu^2 = 0 $
$endgroup$
– user4362081
Mar 28 at 19:57
|
show 7 more comments
$begingroup$
$
S = X_1+X_2+...+X_n xrightarrow[]d N( nmu, nsigma^2),
$ where $mu=1/lambda=EX_i,$ and $sigma^2 = 1/lambda^2=Var(X_i).$
Then,
$$P(S>T_0) = 1-P(S<T_0) = 1-Phi(fracT_0 - nmusqrtnsigma)>0.9,
$$
where $T_0=20,000.$
Thus,
$$Phi(fracT_0 - nmusqrtnsigma)<0.1 implies fracT_0 - nmusqrtnsigma < q_0.1,
$$ where $q_0.1 = -1.281552$ is the tenth percentile of the standard normal (corresponding to the probability of standard normal equal to $0.1$.
Solving for $n$ in the quadratic equation $T_0 - nmu = sqrtnsigma q_0.1$ yields $n=42$.
$endgroup$
$
S = X_1+X_2+...+X_n xrightarrow[]d N( nmu, nsigma^2),
$ where $mu=1/lambda=EX_i,$ and $sigma^2 = 1/lambda^2=Var(X_i).$
Then,
$$P(S>T_0) = 1-P(S<T_0) = 1-Phi(fracT_0 - nmusqrtnsigma)>0.9,
$$
where $T_0=20,000.$
Thus,
$$Phi(fracT_0 - nmusqrtnsigma)<0.1 implies fracT_0 - nmusqrtnsigma < q_0.1,
$$ where $q_0.1 = -1.281552$ is the tenth percentile of the standard normal (corresponding to the probability of standard normal equal to $0.1$.
Solving for $n$ in the quadratic equation $T_0 - nmu = sqrtnsigma q_0.1$ yields $n=42$.
answered Mar 28 at 10:10
dnqxtdnqxt
7625
7625
$begingroup$
Thank you for the more detailed description. Now I understand the procedure. Can I ask you how do you get $T_0 - nmu = sqrtnsigma q_0.1$ from $fracT_0 - nmusqrtnsigma < q_0.1$ ? Shouldn't it be $T_0 - nmu < sqrtnsigma q_0.1$?
$endgroup$
– user4362081
Mar 28 at 18:50
$begingroup$
In order to solve a quadratic equation in a usual way -- hence the '=' sign.
$endgroup$
– dnqxt
Mar 28 at 18:54
$begingroup$
Ok, I'm still not able to get $n=42$ the result. Can you please give me some tip on how to continue with $T_0 - nmu = sqrtnsigma q_0.1$? I tried various adjustment of equations but still nothing.
$endgroup$
– user4362081
Mar 28 at 19:29
$begingroup$
Square both sides of the equation, collect the $n$-terms and solve.
$endgroup$
– dnqxt
Mar 28 at 19:36
$begingroup$
Can you please check my progress? $ T_0 - nmu = sqrtnsigma q_0.1 \ (T_0 - nmu)^2 = (sqrtnsigma q_0.1)^2 \ T_0^2 - 2T_0nmu +n^2mu^2 = nsigma^2q_0.1^2 \ T_0^2 - 2T_0nmu - nsigma^2q_0.1^2 + n^2mu^2 = 0 $
$endgroup$
– user4362081
Mar 28 at 19:57
|
show 7 more comments
$begingroup$
Thank you for the more detailed description. Now I understand the procedure. Can I ask you how do you get $T_0 - nmu = sqrtnsigma q_0.1$ from $fracT_0 - nmusqrtnsigma < q_0.1$ ? Shouldn't it be $T_0 - nmu < sqrtnsigma q_0.1$?
$endgroup$
– user4362081
Mar 28 at 18:50
$begingroup$
In order to solve a quadratic equation in a usual way -- hence the '=' sign.
$endgroup$
– dnqxt
Mar 28 at 18:54
$begingroup$
Ok, I'm still not able to get $n=42$ the result. Can you please give me some tip on how to continue with $T_0 - nmu = sqrtnsigma q_0.1$? I tried various adjustment of equations but still nothing.
$endgroup$
– user4362081
Mar 28 at 19:29
$begingroup$
Square both sides of the equation, collect the $n$-terms and solve.
$endgroup$
– dnqxt
Mar 28 at 19:36
$begingroup$
Can you please check my progress? $ T_0 - nmu = sqrtnsigma q_0.1 \ (T_0 - nmu)^2 = (sqrtnsigma q_0.1)^2 \ T_0^2 - 2T_0nmu +n^2mu^2 = nsigma^2q_0.1^2 \ T_0^2 - 2T_0nmu - nsigma^2q_0.1^2 + n^2mu^2 = 0 $
$endgroup$
– user4362081
Mar 28 at 19:57
$begingroup$
Thank you for the more detailed description. Now I understand the procedure. Can I ask you how do you get $T_0 - nmu = sqrtnsigma q_0.1$ from $fracT_0 - nmusqrtnsigma < q_0.1$ ? Shouldn't it be $T_0 - nmu < sqrtnsigma q_0.1$?
$endgroup$
– user4362081
Mar 28 at 18:50
$begingroup$
Thank you for the more detailed description. Now I understand the procedure. Can I ask you how do you get $T_0 - nmu = sqrtnsigma q_0.1$ from $fracT_0 - nmusqrtnsigma < q_0.1$ ? Shouldn't it be $T_0 - nmu < sqrtnsigma q_0.1$?
$endgroup$
– user4362081
Mar 28 at 18:50
$begingroup$
In order to solve a quadratic equation in a usual way -- hence the '=' sign.
$endgroup$
– dnqxt
Mar 28 at 18:54
$begingroup$
In order to solve a quadratic equation in a usual way -- hence the '=' sign.
$endgroup$
– dnqxt
Mar 28 at 18:54
$begingroup$
Ok, I'm still not able to get $n=42$ the result. Can you please give me some tip on how to continue with $T_0 - nmu = sqrtnsigma q_0.1$? I tried various adjustment of equations but still nothing.
$endgroup$
– user4362081
Mar 28 at 19:29
$begingroup$
Ok, I'm still not able to get $n=42$ the result. Can you please give me some tip on how to continue with $T_0 - nmu = sqrtnsigma q_0.1$? I tried various adjustment of equations but still nothing.
$endgroup$
– user4362081
Mar 28 at 19:29
$begingroup$
Square both sides of the equation, collect the $n$-terms and solve.
$endgroup$
– dnqxt
Mar 28 at 19:36
$begingroup$
Square both sides of the equation, collect the $n$-terms and solve.
$endgroup$
– dnqxt
Mar 28 at 19:36
$begingroup$
Can you please check my progress? $ T_0 - nmu = sqrtnsigma q_0.1 \ (T_0 - nmu)^2 = (sqrtnsigma q_0.1)^2 \ T_0^2 - 2T_0nmu +n^2mu^2 = nsigma^2q_0.1^2 \ T_0^2 - 2T_0nmu - nsigma^2q_0.1^2 + n^2mu^2 = 0 $
$endgroup$
– user4362081
Mar 28 at 19:57
$begingroup$
Can you please check my progress? $ T_0 - nmu = sqrtnsigma q_0.1 \ (T_0 - nmu)^2 = (sqrtnsigma q_0.1)^2 \ T_0^2 - 2T_0nmu +n^2mu^2 = nsigma^2q_0.1^2 \ T_0^2 - 2T_0nmu - nsigma^2q_0.1^2 + n^2mu^2 = 0 $
$endgroup$
– user4362081
Mar 28 at 19:57
|
show 7 more comments
$begingroup$
Adopting your notation, the central limit theorem intuitively says that for very large integers $n$, the distribution of
$$ frac1sqrt n sum_i=1^n X_i $$
is approximately $N(mu,sigma^2)$.
I believe the exercise is asking you to say that the answer $n$ lightbulbs that you need is large enough to use the approximation:
$$ frac1sqrt n sum_i=1^n X_i sim N(mu,sigma^2) tag1$$
This will be useful, because you can write the event of $n$ light bulbs lasting $20,000$-hours in terms of $X_1,ldots,X_n$.
Try to do this, and then rewrite it in terms of the scaled distribution in (1).
You will instead see that you want $P(Xgeq f(n)) geq 0.9$, where $f(n)$ is an expression that depends on $n$ — not only $20,000$.
$endgroup$
$begingroup$
I don't fully understand of step: This will be useful because you can write the event of n light bulbs lasting 20,000-hours in terms of $X_1,...,X_n$. Can you please explain more details?
$endgroup$
– user4362081
Mar 27 at 20:33
$begingroup$
Yeah! Since $X_i$ is the bulb life of the $i$-th light bulb, the combined life of $n$ light bulbs is $X_1+X_2+cdots+X_n$. To say that the $n$ light bulbs lasts more than $20,000$-hours would mean that $X_1+X_2+cdots+X_ngeq 20,000$.
$endgroup$
– mvarble
Mar 27 at 21:17
$begingroup$
Sorry, it's still not clear to me. How I can use claim $X_1+X_2+cdots+X_ngeq 20,000$ in the next steps please?
$endgroup$
– user4362081
Mar 27 at 21:32
add a comment |
$begingroup$
Adopting your notation, the central limit theorem intuitively says that for very large integers $n$, the distribution of
$$ frac1sqrt n sum_i=1^n X_i $$
is approximately $N(mu,sigma^2)$.
I believe the exercise is asking you to say that the answer $n$ lightbulbs that you need is large enough to use the approximation:
$$ frac1sqrt n sum_i=1^n X_i sim N(mu,sigma^2) tag1$$
This will be useful, because you can write the event of $n$ light bulbs lasting $20,000$-hours in terms of $X_1,ldots,X_n$.
Try to do this, and then rewrite it in terms of the scaled distribution in (1).
You will instead see that you want $P(Xgeq f(n)) geq 0.9$, where $f(n)$ is an expression that depends on $n$ — not only $20,000$.
$endgroup$
$begingroup$
I don't fully understand of step: This will be useful because you can write the event of n light bulbs lasting 20,000-hours in terms of $X_1,...,X_n$. Can you please explain more details?
$endgroup$
– user4362081
Mar 27 at 20:33
$begingroup$
Yeah! Since $X_i$ is the bulb life of the $i$-th light bulb, the combined life of $n$ light bulbs is $X_1+X_2+cdots+X_n$. To say that the $n$ light bulbs lasts more than $20,000$-hours would mean that $X_1+X_2+cdots+X_ngeq 20,000$.
$endgroup$
– mvarble
Mar 27 at 21:17
$begingroup$
Sorry, it's still not clear to me. How I can use claim $X_1+X_2+cdots+X_ngeq 20,000$ in the next steps please?
$endgroup$
– user4362081
Mar 27 at 21:32
add a comment |
$begingroup$
Adopting your notation, the central limit theorem intuitively says that for very large integers $n$, the distribution of
$$ frac1sqrt n sum_i=1^n X_i $$
is approximately $N(mu,sigma^2)$.
I believe the exercise is asking you to say that the answer $n$ lightbulbs that you need is large enough to use the approximation:
$$ frac1sqrt n sum_i=1^n X_i sim N(mu,sigma^2) tag1$$
This will be useful, because you can write the event of $n$ light bulbs lasting $20,000$-hours in terms of $X_1,ldots,X_n$.
Try to do this, and then rewrite it in terms of the scaled distribution in (1).
You will instead see that you want $P(Xgeq f(n)) geq 0.9$, where $f(n)$ is an expression that depends on $n$ — not only $20,000$.
$endgroup$
Adopting your notation, the central limit theorem intuitively says that for very large integers $n$, the distribution of
$$ frac1sqrt n sum_i=1^n X_i $$
is approximately $N(mu,sigma^2)$.
I believe the exercise is asking you to say that the answer $n$ lightbulbs that you need is large enough to use the approximation:
$$ frac1sqrt n sum_i=1^n X_i sim N(mu,sigma^2) tag1$$
This will be useful, because you can write the event of $n$ light bulbs lasting $20,000$-hours in terms of $X_1,ldots,X_n$.
Try to do this, and then rewrite it in terms of the scaled distribution in (1).
You will instead see that you want $P(Xgeq f(n)) geq 0.9$, where $f(n)$ is an expression that depends on $n$ — not only $20,000$.
answered Mar 27 at 20:08
mvarblemvarble
182
182
$begingroup$
I don't fully understand of step: This will be useful because you can write the event of n light bulbs lasting 20,000-hours in terms of $X_1,...,X_n$. Can you please explain more details?
$endgroup$
– user4362081
Mar 27 at 20:33
$begingroup$
Yeah! Since $X_i$ is the bulb life of the $i$-th light bulb, the combined life of $n$ light bulbs is $X_1+X_2+cdots+X_n$. To say that the $n$ light bulbs lasts more than $20,000$-hours would mean that $X_1+X_2+cdots+X_ngeq 20,000$.
$endgroup$
– mvarble
Mar 27 at 21:17
$begingroup$
Sorry, it's still not clear to me. How I can use claim $X_1+X_2+cdots+X_ngeq 20,000$ in the next steps please?
$endgroup$
– user4362081
Mar 27 at 21:32
add a comment |
$begingroup$
I don't fully understand of step: This will be useful because you can write the event of n light bulbs lasting 20,000-hours in terms of $X_1,...,X_n$. Can you please explain more details?
$endgroup$
– user4362081
Mar 27 at 20:33
$begingroup$
Yeah! Since $X_i$ is the bulb life of the $i$-th light bulb, the combined life of $n$ light bulbs is $X_1+X_2+cdots+X_n$. To say that the $n$ light bulbs lasts more than $20,000$-hours would mean that $X_1+X_2+cdots+X_ngeq 20,000$.
$endgroup$
– mvarble
Mar 27 at 21:17
$begingroup$
Sorry, it's still not clear to me. How I can use claim $X_1+X_2+cdots+X_ngeq 20,000$ in the next steps please?
$endgroup$
– user4362081
Mar 27 at 21:32
$begingroup$
I don't fully understand of step: This will be useful because you can write the event of n light bulbs lasting 20,000-hours in terms of $X_1,...,X_n$. Can you please explain more details?
$endgroup$
– user4362081
Mar 27 at 20:33
$begingroup$
I don't fully understand of step: This will be useful because you can write the event of n light bulbs lasting 20,000-hours in terms of $X_1,...,X_n$. Can you please explain more details?
$endgroup$
– user4362081
Mar 27 at 20:33
$begingroup$
Yeah! Since $X_i$ is the bulb life of the $i$-th light bulb, the combined life of $n$ light bulbs is $X_1+X_2+cdots+X_n$. To say that the $n$ light bulbs lasts more than $20,000$-hours would mean that $X_1+X_2+cdots+X_ngeq 20,000$.
$endgroup$
– mvarble
Mar 27 at 21:17
$begingroup$
Yeah! Since $X_i$ is the bulb life of the $i$-th light bulb, the combined life of $n$ light bulbs is $X_1+X_2+cdots+X_n$. To say that the $n$ light bulbs lasts more than $20,000$-hours would mean that $X_1+X_2+cdots+X_ngeq 20,000$.
$endgroup$
– mvarble
Mar 27 at 21:17
$begingroup$
Sorry, it's still not clear to me. How I can use claim $X_1+X_2+cdots+X_ngeq 20,000$ in the next steps please?
$endgroup$
– user4362081
Mar 27 at 21:32
$begingroup$
Sorry, it's still not clear to me. How I can use claim $X_1+X_2+cdots+X_ngeq 20,000$ in the next steps please?
$endgroup$
– user4362081
Mar 27 at 21:32
add a comment |
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