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Asymptotics of the minimum of Binomial random variables



The Next CEO of Stack OverflowAsymptotics of binomial coefficients and the entropy functionHow to maximize the expected number of corrected guesses?Asymptotics of a mixtureCDF of minimum of correlated and iid random variablesExtreme value distributions of uncountably infinite set of random variableslet $X_0, X_1, …$ be iid random variables with Bernoulli distribution. Suppose that $T_n = Sigma_i=0^n-1 mathbb 1_(X_i =1, X_i+1=1)$Distribution of the sum of binomial random variablesMaximum of exponential random variables is bigger than maximum of normal random variables almost surely as $n$ tends to infinity.Sum-Product of Random VariablesCentral Limit Theorem applied to binomial random variableShow that two random variables are independentExpected value of the maximum of binomial random variables










0












$begingroup$


Let $Y=minX_1, X_2 cdots X_k$ be the minimum of $k$ iid Binomial $(n,1/2)$ random variables.



I'm interested in the asymptotics of $Y$ (distribution, or mean and variance) for large $n$ and $k = 2^ beta n $, with $beta < 1/2$.



Any suggestions or pointers would be appreciated.










share|cite|improve this question











$endgroup$











  • $begingroup$
    $Pr(Y=y)=left(2^-n binomni-I_frac12(n-i,i+1)+1right)^2^beta n-left(1-I_frac12(n-i,i+1)right)^2^beta n$ if $0leq y <n$ and $2^n left(-2^beta nright)$ if $y=n$ (according to Mathematica).
    $endgroup$
    – JimB
    Mar 22 at 5:12










  • $begingroup$
    And $I_z(a,b)$ is the regularized incomplete beta function.
    $endgroup$
    – JimB
    Mar 22 at 5:20











  • $begingroup$
    @JimB Perhaps you should add that as answer, perhaps commenting on its derivation.
    $endgroup$
    – leonbloy
    Mar 22 at 15:10















0












$begingroup$


Let $Y=minX_1, X_2 cdots X_k$ be the minimum of $k$ iid Binomial $(n,1/2)$ random variables.



I'm interested in the asymptotics of $Y$ (distribution, or mean and variance) for large $n$ and $k = 2^ beta n $, with $beta < 1/2$.



Any suggestions or pointers would be appreciated.










share|cite|improve this question











$endgroup$











  • $begingroup$
    $Pr(Y=y)=left(2^-n binomni-I_frac12(n-i,i+1)+1right)^2^beta n-left(1-I_frac12(n-i,i+1)right)^2^beta n$ if $0leq y <n$ and $2^n left(-2^beta nright)$ if $y=n$ (according to Mathematica).
    $endgroup$
    – JimB
    Mar 22 at 5:12










  • $begingroup$
    And $I_z(a,b)$ is the regularized incomplete beta function.
    $endgroup$
    – JimB
    Mar 22 at 5:20











  • $begingroup$
    @JimB Perhaps you should add that as answer, perhaps commenting on its derivation.
    $endgroup$
    – leonbloy
    Mar 22 at 15:10













0












0








0





$begingroup$


Let $Y=minX_1, X_2 cdots X_k$ be the minimum of $k$ iid Binomial $(n,1/2)$ random variables.



I'm interested in the asymptotics of $Y$ (distribution, or mean and variance) for large $n$ and $k = 2^ beta n $, with $beta < 1/2$.



Any suggestions or pointers would be appreciated.










share|cite|improve this question











$endgroup$




Let $Y=minX_1, X_2 cdots X_k$ be the minimum of $k$ iid Binomial $(n,1/2)$ random variables.



I'm interested in the asymptotics of $Y$ (distribution, or mean and variance) for large $n$ and $k = 2^ beta n $, with $beta < 1/2$.



Any suggestions or pointers would be appreciated.







probability asymptotics binomial-distribution extreme-value-analysis






share|cite|improve this question















share|cite|improve this question













share|cite|improve this question




share|cite|improve this question








edited Mar 21 at 23:28







leonbloy

















asked Mar 17 at 21:14









leonbloyleonbloy

41.9k647108




41.9k647108











  • $begingroup$
    $Pr(Y=y)=left(2^-n binomni-I_frac12(n-i,i+1)+1right)^2^beta n-left(1-I_frac12(n-i,i+1)right)^2^beta n$ if $0leq y <n$ and $2^n left(-2^beta nright)$ if $y=n$ (according to Mathematica).
    $endgroup$
    – JimB
    Mar 22 at 5:12










  • $begingroup$
    And $I_z(a,b)$ is the regularized incomplete beta function.
    $endgroup$
    – JimB
    Mar 22 at 5:20











  • $begingroup$
    @JimB Perhaps you should add that as answer, perhaps commenting on its derivation.
    $endgroup$
    – leonbloy
    Mar 22 at 15:10
















  • $begingroup$
    $Pr(Y=y)=left(2^-n binomni-I_frac12(n-i,i+1)+1right)^2^beta n-left(1-I_frac12(n-i,i+1)right)^2^beta n$ if $0leq y <n$ and $2^n left(-2^beta nright)$ if $y=n$ (according to Mathematica).
    $endgroup$
    – JimB
    Mar 22 at 5:12










  • $begingroup$
    And $I_z(a,b)$ is the regularized incomplete beta function.
    $endgroup$
    – JimB
    Mar 22 at 5:20











  • $begingroup$
    @JimB Perhaps you should add that as answer, perhaps commenting on its derivation.
    $endgroup$
    – leonbloy
    Mar 22 at 15:10















$begingroup$
$Pr(Y=y)=left(2^-n binomni-I_frac12(n-i,i+1)+1right)^2^beta n-left(1-I_frac12(n-i,i+1)right)^2^beta n$ if $0leq y <n$ and $2^n left(-2^beta nright)$ if $y=n$ (according to Mathematica).
$endgroup$
– JimB
Mar 22 at 5:12




$begingroup$
$Pr(Y=y)=left(2^-n binomni-I_frac12(n-i,i+1)+1right)^2^beta n-left(1-I_frac12(n-i,i+1)right)^2^beta n$ if $0leq y <n$ and $2^n left(-2^beta nright)$ if $y=n$ (according to Mathematica).
$endgroup$
– JimB
Mar 22 at 5:12












$begingroup$
And $I_z(a,b)$ is the regularized incomplete beta function.
$endgroup$
– JimB
Mar 22 at 5:20





$begingroup$
And $I_z(a,b)$ is the regularized incomplete beta function.
$endgroup$
– JimB
Mar 22 at 5:20













$begingroup$
@JimB Perhaps you should add that as answer, perhaps commenting on its derivation.
$endgroup$
– leonbloy
Mar 22 at 15:10




$begingroup$
@JimB Perhaps you should add that as answer, perhaps commenting on its derivation.
$endgroup$
– leonbloy
Mar 22 at 15:10










2 Answers
2






active

oldest

votes


















1












$begingroup$

This is just a partial answer in that it gives the probability mass function for finite values of $n$ (i.e., no asymptotics).



Using Mathematica one can find the probability mass function for a specific $n$ and $beta$ with the following commands:



distY = OrderDistribution[BinomialDistribution[n, 1/2], 2^(beta n), 1];
pmf = PDF[distY, y]


with the following result:



$$Pr(Y=y)=left(2^-n binomny-I_frac12(n-y,y+1)+1right)^2^beta n-left(1-I_frac12(n-y,y+1)right)^2^beta n$$



when $0leq y<n$ and



$$Pr(Y=n)=left(2^-n binomnyright)^2^beta n$$



when $y=n$ where $I_z (a,b)$ is the regularized incomplete beta function.



If $beta=1/20$, then one can construct a table of the means and variances for values of $n$:



beta = 1/20;
distY = OrderDistribution[BinomialDistribution[n, 1/2], 2^(beta n), 1];
data = Table[n, 2^(beta n), Mean[distY] // N, Variance[distY] // N, n, 20, 240, 20]
TableForm[data, TableHeadings -> None, "n", "k", "Mean", "Variance"]


$$
beginarraycccc
20 & 2 & 8.74629 & 3.42822 \
40 & 4 & 16.7558 & 4.91162 \
60 & 8 & 24.5034 & 5.56277 \
80 & 16 & 32.1274 & 5.85087 \
100 & 32 & 39.6867 & 5.97801 \
120 & 64 & 47.2088 & 6.03288 \
140 & 128 & 54.7079 & 6.05502 \
160 & 256 & 62.1913 & 6.06233 \
180 & 512 & 69.6636 & 6.06297 \
200 & 1024 & 77.1272 & 6.06068 \
220 & 2048 & 84.5839 & 6.05716 \
240 & 4096 & 92.0349 & 6.05319 \
endarray
$$



With larger values of $n$, there will likely be numerical overflow issues unless some care is taken. However, so far the relationship with $n$ and the mean seems pretty linear:



n vs mean






share|cite|improve this answer











$endgroup$




















    0












    $begingroup$

    This attempts to get the asymptotical behaviour of $P(Y)$, making some adaptations (and, I think, some simplifications and improvements) to this answer in other SE site, which corresponds to essentially this problem with $beta < 1/2$.



    We seek to find some $d$ such that $P(X_ile d) approx 1/k$, so that $P(Y>d) approx (1-1/k)^k to e^-1$.



    We expect (hope) that $d/n$ will be asymptotically constant, as $ntoinfty$.



    Let's use the approximation $log_2 binomnd approx n , h(d/n)$, where $h()$ is the binary entropy function, so



    $$P(X_i=d)approx 2^-n(1-h(d/n)) tag1$$



    Noticing that for $delta ll x$ we have $h(x+delta) approx h(x) - delta log_2(fracx1-x)$, or



    $$hleft(fracd-jnright)approx h(d/n) + log_2left(fracdn-dright) fracjn tag2$$



    then



    $$P(X_i=d-j)approx P(X_i=d) left(fracdn-dright)^j tag3$$



    and



    $$P(X_i le d) = sum_j=0^d P(X_i=d-j) approx P(X_i=d) left(fracn-dn-2dright) tag 4$$



    Plugging $(1)$ into $(4)$ and equating it to $1/k= 2^-beta n$, calling $t=d/n$, we get



    $$ log_2left(frac1- 2 t1-tright)=n left(h(t) - 1 +beta right) tag5$$



    If we impose that $t$ is (asympotically) constant wrt $n$, then this implies that (asympotically) this constant (which we call $hatt$) must be a root of



    $$ h(t)=1-beta tag6$$



    In this case, it should be the lower ($t<1/2$) root. For example, for $beta=1/4$ we
    get $hatt=0.2145017$.



    So we take $d = n hatt $ , rounded to the nearest integer.



    This implies (details here) that the distribution of $Y$ corresponds to a Gumbel distribution, with mean tending asymptotically to $d$ (hence growing linearly with $n$) and constant variance. Hence $Y$ is asymptotically concentrated around the root of $(6)$.






    share|cite|improve this answer











    $endgroup$













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      2 Answers
      2






      active

      oldest

      votes








      2 Answers
      2






      active

      oldest

      votes









      active

      oldest

      votes






      active

      oldest

      votes









      1












      $begingroup$

      This is just a partial answer in that it gives the probability mass function for finite values of $n$ (i.e., no asymptotics).



      Using Mathematica one can find the probability mass function for a specific $n$ and $beta$ with the following commands:



      distY = OrderDistribution[BinomialDistribution[n, 1/2], 2^(beta n), 1];
      pmf = PDF[distY, y]


      with the following result:



      $$Pr(Y=y)=left(2^-n binomny-I_frac12(n-y,y+1)+1right)^2^beta n-left(1-I_frac12(n-y,y+1)right)^2^beta n$$



      when $0leq y<n$ and



      $$Pr(Y=n)=left(2^-n binomnyright)^2^beta n$$



      when $y=n$ where $I_z (a,b)$ is the regularized incomplete beta function.



      If $beta=1/20$, then one can construct a table of the means and variances for values of $n$:



      beta = 1/20;
      distY = OrderDistribution[BinomialDistribution[n, 1/2], 2^(beta n), 1];
      data = Table[n, 2^(beta n), Mean[distY] // N, Variance[distY] // N, n, 20, 240, 20]
      TableForm[data, TableHeadings -> None, "n", "k", "Mean", "Variance"]


      $$
      beginarraycccc
      20 & 2 & 8.74629 & 3.42822 \
      40 & 4 & 16.7558 & 4.91162 \
      60 & 8 & 24.5034 & 5.56277 \
      80 & 16 & 32.1274 & 5.85087 \
      100 & 32 & 39.6867 & 5.97801 \
      120 & 64 & 47.2088 & 6.03288 \
      140 & 128 & 54.7079 & 6.05502 \
      160 & 256 & 62.1913 & 6.06233 \
      180 & 512 & 69.6636 & 6.06297 \
      200 & 1024 & 77.1272 & 6.06068 \
      220 & 2048 & 84.5839 & 6.05716 \
      240 & 4096 & 92.0349 & 6.05319 \
      endarray
      $$



      With larger values of $n$, there will likely be numerical overflow issues unless some care is taken. However, so far the relationship with $n$ and the mean seems pretty linear:



      n vs mean






      share|cite|improve this answer











      $endgroup$

















        1












        $begingroup$

        This is just a partial answer in that it gives the probability mass function for finite values of $n$ (i.e., no asymptotics).



        Using Mathematica one can find the probability mass function for a specific $n$ and $beta$ with the following commands:



        distY = OrderDistribution[BinomialDistribution[n, 1/2], 2^(beta n), 1];
        pmf = PDF[distY, y]


        with the following result:



        $$Pr(Y=y)=left(2^-n binomny-I_frac12(n-y,y+1)+1right)^2^beta n-left(1-I_frac12(n-y,y+1)right)^2^beta n$$



        when $0leq y<n$ and



        $$Pr(Y=n)=left(2^-n binomnyright)^2^beta n$$



        when $y=n$ where $I_z (a,b)$ is the regularized incomplete beta function.



        If $beta=1/20$, then one can construct a table of the means and variances for values of $n$:



        beta = 1/20;
        distY = OrderDistribution[BinomialDistribution[n, 1/2], 2^(beta n), 1];
        data = Table[n, 2^(beta n), Mean[distY] // N, Variance[distY] // N, n, 20, 240, 20]
        TableForm[data, TableHeadings -> None, "n", "k", "Mean", "Variance"]


        $$
        beginarraycccc
        20 & 2 & 8.74629 & 3.42822 \
        40 & 4 & 16.7558 & 4.91162 \
        60 & 8 & 24.5034 & 5.56277 \
        80 & 16 & 32.1274 & 5.85087 \
        100 & 32 & 39.6867 & 5.97801 \
        120 & 64 & 47.2088 & 6.03288 \
        140 & 128 & 54.7079 & 6.05502 \
        160 & 256 & 62.1913 & 6.06233 \
        180 & 512 & 69.6636 & 6.06297 \
        200 & 1024 & 77.1272 & 6.06068 \
        220 & 2048 & 84.5839 & 6.05716 \
        240 & 4096 & 92.0349 & 6.05319 \
        endarray
        $$



        With larger values of $n$, there will likely be numerical overflow issues unless some care is taken. However, so far the relationship with $n$ and the mean seems pretty linear:



        n vs mean






        share|cite|improve this answer











        $endgroup$















          1












          1








          1





          $begingroup$

          This is just a partial answer in that it gives the probability mass function for finite values of $n$ (i.e., no asymptotics).



          Using Mathematica one can find the probability mass function for a specific $n$ and $beta$ with the following commands:



          distY = OrderDistribution[BinomialDistribution[n, 1/2], 2^(beta n), 1];
          pmf = PDF[distY, y]


          with the following result:



          $$Pr(Y=y)=left(2^-n binomny-I_frac12(n-y,y+1)+1right)^2^beta n-left(1-I_frac12(n-y,y+1)right)^2^beta n$$



          when $0leq y<n$ and



          $$Pr(Y=n)=left(2^-n binomnyright)^2^beta n$$



          when $y=n$ where $I_z (a,b)$ is the regularized incomplete beta function.



          If $beta=1/20$, then one can construct a table of the means and variances for values of $n$:



          beta = 1/20;
          distY = OrderDistribution[BinomialDistribution[n, 1/2], 2^(beta n), 1];
          data = Table[n, 2^(beta n), Mean[distY] // N, Variance[distY] // N, n, 20, 240, 20]
          TableForm[data, TableHeadings -> None, "n", "k", "Mean", "Variance"]


          $$
          beginarraycccc
          20 & 2 & 8.74629 & 3.42822 \
          40 & 4 & 16.7558 & 4.91162 \
          60 & 8 & 24.5034 & 5.56277 \
          80 & 16 & 32.1274 & 5.85087 \
          100 & 32 & 39.6867 & 5.97801 \
          120 & 64 & 47.2088 & 6.03288 \
          140 & 128 & 54.7079 & 6.05502 \
          160 & 256 & 62.1913 & 6.06233 \
          180 & 512 & 69.6636 & 6.06297 \
          200 & 1024 & 77.1272 & 6.06068 \
          220 & 2048 & 84.5839 & 6.05716 \
          240 & 4096 & 92.0349 & 6.05319 \
          endarray
          $$



          With larger values of $n$, there will likely be numerical overflow issues unless some care is taken. However, so far the relationship with $n$ and the mean seems pretty linear:



          n vs mean






          share|cite|improve this answer











          $endgroup$



          This is just a partial answer in that it gives the probability mass function for finite values of $n$ (i.e., no asymptotics).



          Using Mathematica one can find the probability mass function for a specific $n$ and $beta$ with the following commands:



          distY = OrderDistribution[BinomialDistribution[n, 1/2], 2^(beta n), 1];
          pmf = PDF[distY, y]


          with the following result:



          $$Pr(Y=y)=left(2^-n binomny-I_frac12(n-y,y+1)+1right)^2^beta n-left(1-I_frac12(n-y,y+1)right)^2^beta n$$



          when $0leq y<n$ and



          $$Pr(Y=n)=left(2^-n binomnyright)^2^beta n$$



          when $y=n$ where $I_z (a,b)$ is the regularized incomplete beta function.



          If $beta=1/20$, then one can construct a table of the means and variances for values of $n$:



          beta = 1/20;
          distY = OrderDistribution[BinomialDistribution[n, 1/2], 2^(beta n), 1];
          data = Table[n, 2^(beta n), Mean[distY] // N, Variance[distY] // N, n, 20, 240, 20]
          TableForm[data, TableHeadings -> None, "n", "k", "Mean", "Variance"]


          $$
          beginarraycccc
          20 & 2 & 8.74629 & 3.42822 \
          40 & 4 & 16.7558 & 4.91162 \
          60 & 8 & 24.5034 & 5.56277 \
          80 & 16 & 32.1274 & 5.85087 \
          100 & 32 & 39.6867 & 5.97801 \
          120 & 64 & 47.2088 & 6.03288 \
          140 & 128 & 54.7079 & 6.05502 \
          160 & 256 & 62.1913 & 6.06233 \
          180 & 512 & 69.6636 & 6.06297 \
          200 & 1024 & 77.1272 & 6.06068 \
          220 & 2048 & 84.5839 & 6.05716 \
          240 & 4096 & 92.0349 & 6.05319 \
          endarray
          $$



          With larger values of $n$, there will likely be numerical overflow issues unless some care is taken. However, so far the relationship with $n$ and the mean seems pretty linear:



          n vs mean







          share|cite|improve this answer














          share|cite|improve this answer



          share|cite|improve this answer








          edited Mar 22 at 22:48

























          answered Mar 22 at 21:52









          JimBJimB

          61547




          61547





















              0












              $begingroup$

              This attempts to get the asymptotical behaviour of $P(Y)$, making some adaptations (and, I think, some simplifications and improvements) to this answer in other SE site, which corresponds to essentially this problem with $beta < 1/2$.



              We seek to find some $d$ such that $P(X_ile d) approx 1/k$, so that $P(Y>d) approx (1-1/k)^k to e^-1$.



              We expect (hope) that $d/n$ will be asymptotically constant, as $ntoinfty$.



              Let's use the approximation $log_2 binomnd approx n , h(d/n)$, where $h()$ is the binary entropy function, so



              $$P(X_i=d)approx 2^-n(1-h(d/n)) tag1$$



              Noticing that for $delta ll x$ we have $h(x+delta) approx h(x) - delta log_2(fracx1-x)$, or



              $$hleft(fracd-jnright)approx h(d/n) + log_2left(fracdn-dright) fracjn tag2$$



              then



              $$P(X_i=d-j)approx P(X_i=d) left(fracdn-dright)^j tag3$$



              and



              $$P(X_i le d) = sum_j=0^d P(X_i=d-j) approx P(X_i=d) left(fracn-dn-2dright) tag 4$$



              Plugging $(1)$ into $(4)$ and equating it to $1/k= 2^-beta n$, calling $t=d/n$, we get



              $$ log_2left(frac1- 2 t1-tright)=n left(h(t) - 1 +beta right) tag5$$



              If we impose that $t$ is (asympotically) constant wrt $n$, then this implies that (asympotically) this constant (which we call $hatt$) must be a root of



              $$ h(t)=1-beta tag6$$



              In this case, it should be the lower ($t<1/2$) root. For example, for $beta=1/4$ we
              get $hatt=0.2145017$.



              So we take $d = n hatt $ , rounded to the nearest integer.



              This implies (details here) that the distribution of $Y$ corresponds to a Gumbel distribution, with mean tending asymptotically to $d$ (hence growing linearly with $n$) and constant variance. Hence $Y$ is asymptotically concentrated around the root of $(6)$.






              share|cite|improve this answer











              $endgroup$

















                0












                $begingroup$

                This attempts to get the asymptotical behaviour of $P(Y)$, making some adaptations (and, I think, some simplifications and improvements) to this answer in other SE site, which corresponds to essentially this problem with $beta < 1/2$.



                We seek to find some $d$ such that $P(X_ile d) approx 1/k$, so that $P(Y>d) approx (1-1/k)^k to e^-1$.



                We expect (hope) that $d/n$ will be asymptotically constant, as $ntoinfty$.



                Let's use the approximation $log_2 binomnd approx n , h(d/n)$, where $h()$ is the binary entropy function, so



                $$P(X_i=d)approx 2^-n(1-h(d/n)) tag1$$



                Noticing that for $delta ll x$ we have $h(x+delta) approx h(x) - delta log_2(fracx1-x)$, or



                $$hleft(fracd-jnright)approx h(d/n) + log_2left(fracdn-dright) fracjn tag2$$



                then



                $$P(X_i=d-j)approx P(X_i=d) left(fracdn-dright)^j tag3$$



                and



                $$P(X_i le d) = sum_j=0^d P(X_i=d-j) approx P(X_i=d) left(fracn-dn-2dright) tag 4$$



                Plugging $(1)$ into $(4)$ and equating it to $1/k= 2^-beta n$, calling $t=d/n$, we get



                $$ log_2left(frac1- 2 t1-tright)=n left(h(t) - 1 +beta right) tag5$$



                If we impose that $t$ is (asympotically) constant wrt $n$, then this implies that (asympotically) this constant (which we call $hatt$) must be a root of



                $$ h(t)=1-beta tag6$$



                In this case, it should be the lower ($t<1/2$) root. For example, for $beta=1/4$ we
                get $hatt=0.2145017$.



                So we take $d = n hatt $ , rounded to the nearest integer.



                This implies (details here) that the distribution of $Y$ corresponds to a Gumbel distribution, with mean tending asymptotically to $d$ (hence growing linearly with $n$) and constant variance. Hence $Y$ is asymptotically concentrated around the root of $(6)$.






                share|cite|improve this answer











                $endgroup$















                  0












                  0








                  0





                  $begingroup$

                  This attempts to get the asymptotical behaviour of $P(Y)$, making some adaptations (and, I think, some simplifications and improvements) to this answer in other SE site, which corresponds to essentially this problem with $beta < 1/2$.



                  We seek to find some $d$ such that $P(X_ile d) approx 1/k$, so that $P(Y>d) approx (1-1/k)^k to e^-1$.



                  We expect (hope) that $d/n$ will be asymptotically constant, as $ntoinfty$.



                  Let's use the approximation $log_2 binomnd approx n , h(d/n)$, where $h()$ is the binary entropy function, so



                  $$P(X_i=d)approx 2^-n(1-h(d/n)) tag1$$



                  Noticing that for $delta ll x$ we have $h(x+delta) approx h(x) - delta log_2(fracx1-x)$, or



                  $$hleft(fracd-jnright)approx h(d/n) + log_2left(fracdn-dright) fracjn tag2$$



                  then



                  $$P(X_i=d-j)approx P(X_i=d) left(fracdn-dright)^j tag3$$



                  and



                  $$P(X_i le d) = sum_j=0^d P(X_i=d-j) approx P(X_i=d) left(fracn-dn-2dright) tag 4$$



                  Plugging $(1)$ into $(4)$ and equating it to $1/k= 2^-beta n$, calling $t=d/n$, we get



                  $$ log_2left(frac1- 2 t1-tright)=n left(h(t) - 1 +beta right) tag5$$



                  If we impose that $t$ is (asympotically) constant wrt $n$, then this implies that (asympotically) this constant (which we call $hatt$) must be a root of



                  $$ h(t)=1-beta tag6$$



                  In this case, it should be the lower ($t<1/2$) root. For example, for $beta=1/4$ we
                  get $hatt=0.2145017$.



                  So we take $d = n hatt $ , rounded to the nearest integer.



                  This implies (details here) that the distribution of $Y$ corresponds to a Gumbel distribution, with mean tending asymptotically to $d$ (hence growing linearly with $n$) and constant variance. Hence $Y$ is asymptotically concentrated around the root of $(6)$.






                  share|cite|improve this answer











                  $endgroup$



                  This attempts to get the asymptotical behaviour of $P(Y)$, making some adaptations (and, I think, some simplifications and improvements) to this answer in other SE site, which corresponds to essentially this problem with $beta < 1/2$.



                  We seek to find some $d$ such that $P(X_ile d) approx 1/k$, so that $P(Y>d) approx (1-1/k)^k to e^-1$.



                  We expect (hope) that $d/n$ will be asymptotically constant, as $ntoinfty$.



                  Let's use the approximation $log_2 binomnd approx n , h(d/n)$, where $h()$ is the binary entropy function, so



                  $$P(X_i=d)approx 2^-n(1-h(d/n)) tag1$$



                  Noticing that for $delta ll x$ we have $h(x+delta) approx h(x) - delta log_2(fracx1-x)$, or



                  $$hleft(fracd-jnright)approx h(d/n) + log_2left(fracdn-dright) fracjn tag2$$



                  then



                  $$P(X_i=d-j)approx P(X_i=d) left(fracdn-dright)^j tag3$$



                  and



                  $$P(X_i le d) = sum_j=0^d P(X_i=d-j) approx P(X_i=d) left(fracn-dn-2dright) tag 4$$



                  Plugging $(1)$ into $(4)$ and equating it to $1/k= 2^-beta n$, calling $t=d/n$, we get



                  $$ log_2left(frac1- 2 t1-tright)=n left(h(t) - 1 +beta right) tag5$$



                  If we impose that $t$ is (asympotically) constant wrt $n$, then this implies that (asympotically) this constant (which we call $hatt$) must be a root of



                  $$ h(t)=1-beta tag6$$



                  In this case, it should be the lower ($t<1/2$) root. For example, for $beta=1/4$ we
                  get $hatt=0.2145017$.



                  So we take $d = n hatt $ , rounded to the nearest integer.



                  This implies (details here) that the distribution of $Y$ corresponds to a Gumbel distribution, with mean tending asymptotically to $d$ (hence growing linearly with $n$) and constant variance. Hence $Y$ is asymptotically concentrated around the root of $(6)$.







                  share|cite|improve this answer














                  share|cite|improve this answer



                  share|cite|improve this answer








                  edited Mar 23 at 14:58

























                  answered Mar 23 at 2:09









                  leonbloyleonbloy

                  41.9k647108




                  41.9k647108



























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